Pasadena, Econo-Dena, Etcetera-Dena

Entries from September 2008

I confess, I don’t have an answer, just a lot of questions

September 30, 2008 · 1 Comment

Will a huge $700 billion buy out of the financial markets straighten up our economy?  I will confess a large measure of queasiness at the amount and the fact that they’re handing the cash to a lot of those same folks that created the financial morass we find ourselves facing.

But,

I don’t really know what else can be done.  I would like to see some way found to create benefits for the people who keep plugging away at their enterprises, meet their payrolls, pay their bills and contribute positively to our economy.

I know there are people who need help. People who may lose their homes, savings, retirements, futures deserve some measure of help. It’s the companies and people who created the financial freefall that I have a hard time handing hundreds of billions of taxpayer dollars.

But,

Do we really need to bail these guys out?

Wisdom in Powerpoint (Kudos to Ross for sending it)

But

After seeing the stock market crumble today after the House of Representatives failed to pass the bailout measure, I’m wondering if maybe it would have been the right move.

But,

What could we stimulate if the conscientious, hard-working, bottom line-watching entrepreneurs among us were the beneficiaries of some of that $700 billion.  What would happen if we were to reward the small and medium sized businesses who will suffer as a result of the crashing financial markets, but weren’t in any way responsible?

Reward the good guys who make our economy work and who we rely on day-to-day for stability and growth.

Well…

It would make the whole “bailout the financial marketeers” much more palatable.

Paul

Categories: Uncategorized

UCLA not optimistic

September 26, 2008 · Leave a Comment

UCLA’s annual Anderson School economic forecast isn’t a positive view of California’s future. Increasing unemployment and the continued weakening of the housing market are going to keep our economy soft. The good news: inertia will keep us from an economic free-fall.

http://newsroom.ucla.edu/portal/ucla/ucla-anderson-forecast-no-recession-64037.aspx

Anderson Forecast: National economy stalled, but no recession forecast

California slowdown will continue until U.S. economy begins to recover

In its third quarterly report of 2008, the UCLA Anderson Forecast continues to affirm that the national economy is not technically in a recession, noting in particular that the revised second-quarter 2008 gross domestic product rate was a surprisingly strong 3.3 percent. The Forecast readily acknowledges the current problems facing the economy and, recession or no recession, asserts that the national economy is “stalled.”

The California Forecast predicts an even weaker California economy, with the state’s fiscal crisis and the weakness in housing and finance creating a continuing drag on economic growth. The California housing market is predicted to continue its decline, along with associated employment in real estate–related sectors. The good news, according to the report, is that there is evidence that even with all the negatives in the state’s economy, there is just enough inertia to keep it “above water.”

Not good when all we really have to rely on is momentum.

Paul

Categories: Uncategorized

WaMu Fails

September 26, 2008 · Leave a Comment

Largest bank failure in history. Fed grabs Washington Mutual and sells off assets to JP Morgan Chase.

It’s stunning how bad the financial giants are faring, and how fast they’re falling apart.

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/09/26/business/26wamu.html?_r=1&hp&oref=slogin

Government Seizes WaMu and Sells Some Assets

Published: September 25, 2008

Washington Mutual, the giant lender that came to symbolize the excesses of the mortgage boom, was seized by federal regulators on Thursday night, in what is by far the largest bank failure in American history.

Regulators simultaneously brokered an emergency sale of virtually all of Washington Mutual, the nation’s largest savings and loan, to JPMorgan Chase for $1.9 billion, averting another potentially huge taxpayer bill for the rescue of a failing institution.

The move came as lawmakers reached a stalemate over the passage of a $700 billion bailout fund designed to help ailing banks, and removed one of America’s most troubled banks from the financial landscape.

Apparently nobody has any confidence in President Bush and his bailout plan.  I do appreciate that the sale to JP Morgan Chase saves depositors, but I am glad to NOT be a WaMu shareholder.

Paul

Categories: Uncategorized

This explains it all

September 26, 2008 · Leave a Comment

Thanks, Ross.

Wisdom in Powerpoint

A bit of South Parkish economics. Not for the prudish.

Paul

Categories: Uncategorized

WOW! A wild couple of weeks

September 18, 2008 · Leave a Comment

Where to start?

Most recent, I suppose.

The stock market’s in a huge tumble following four days of financial turmoil and huge federal bailouts. almost a 950 point drop in two days.

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/09/18/business/18markets.html?_r=1&hp&oref=slogin

Stocks Slump as Investors Run to Safety

return encodeURIComponent(‘The financial crisis entered a potentially dangerous new phase as investors worldwide frantically moved their money into the safest investments, like Treasury bills.’

Published: September 17, 2008

The financial crisis entered a potentially dangerous new phase on Wednesday when many credit markets stopped working normally as investors around the world frantically moved their money into the safest investments, like Treasury bills.


Richard Drew/Associated Press

Christopher Crotty worked on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange on Wednesday.

As a result, the cost of borrowing soared for many companies, while the stocks of Wall Street firms like Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley that only a couple of weeks ago were considered relatively strong came under assault by waves of selling. Investors were so worried that they snapped up three-month Treasury bills with virtually no yield and they pushed gold to its biggest one-day gain in nearly 10 years. Stocks fell by nearly 5 percent in New York.

And confidence in the giants Morgan Stanley and Goldman, Sachs is reoding fast.

The Feds bail out AIG, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac with billions in loans.

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/09/18/business/18fed.html?hp

A New Role for the Fed: Investor of Last Resort

Win McNamee/Getty Images

The Federal Reserve, with help from the Treasury Department, led by Henry Paulson, above, is taking more risk from markets.

Published: September 17, 2008

WASHINGTON — The mighty Federal Reserve is being stretched to its limits, both in the range of problems it is being asked to fix and in its financial firepower.

Susan Walsh/Associated Press

The Federal Reserve, led by Ben Bernanke, is being stretched.

The central bank has also transformed itself almost overnight into the Fed Inc. by essentially taking over American International Group after already taking on hundreds of billions of dollars in mortgage securities to help ailing financial institutions.

Instead of just setting monetary policy in its Ivory Tower-like setting, the Fed now must wear several hats — that of insurance conglomerate, investment banker and even hedge fund manager.

“This is unique, and the Fed has never done something like this before,” said Allan Meltzer, a professor of economics at Carnegie-Mellon University and author of a sweeping history of the Federal Reserve. “If you go all the way back to 1921, when farms were failing and Congress was leaning on the Fed to bail them out, the Fed always said ‘It’s not our business.’ It never regarded itself as an all-purpose agency.”

The Fed has often been described as the nation’s lender of last resort — the one institution that would lend money when everything else had failed. But by acquiring almost 80 percent of A.I.G. in exchange for lending it $85 billion, and holding $29 billion in securities once owned by Bear Stearns, the Fed is now becoming the investor of last resort as well.

Locally, this is going to have an impact. Reports are that retail and restaurant patrons have been staying home. Who else is feeling it?

And the state seems poised to pass a budget over Governor Schwartzenegger’s veto. There are some aspects of the budget that are going to negatively impact us locally, possibly many of our small business owners who are losing one of the “tried and true” safety nets, the ability to deduct business losses. We’ll all see higher withholding for income taxs with a payback in the future, sans interest.

We’ll have to watch to see how i all impact us locally — and whether steps are taken locally to soften the blow.

Paul

Categories: Uncategorized

Some useful info: How do you find out if your bank is solid?

September 6, 2008 · Leave a Comment

Nice article about where to look for information on your bank’s (or any bank’s) financial health.

The best advice: Keep your deposits under the FDIC cap so every dime is insured.

http://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-cover7-2008sep07,0,6888046.story

How to determine your bank’s financial health

A little digging will tell you whether it’s a safe place for your cash
By E. Scott Reckard, Los Angeles Times Staff Writer
September 7, 2008
How can you tell whether your bank is in hot water?

More people have been asking that question since the collapse of Pasadena mortgage giant IndyMac Bank in July. After the government took over the bank, many customers had to wait in line for hours before they could speak to anyone about their deposits.

Sidney Eisenberg would like to avoid that inconvenience.

“Who wants to stand in line to do the paperwork, or find out because you didn’t dot an ‘i’ or cross a ‘t’ some bureaucrat doesn’t want to give you your money? Life is too short to engage in any more hassles than necessary,” said Eisenberg, 62, of Rowland Heights, whose investments include bank certificates of deposit as well as stocks and bonds.

The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. says that when a bank fails, most customers who are covered by deposit insurance don’t lose access to their money at all. IndyMac customers who didn’t want to stand in line at a branch were still always able to access their accounts online or at an ATM, the agency says.

But when it comes to money, some people don’t want to take any chances. Even if you know that your account is 100% insured, you still may want to check on the soundness of your bank or credit union.

Where do you start? Eisenberg, a retired General Motors executive, clicked on a “security” link on the website of his bank, Citibank, but found only “a bunch of trivial info about ‘phishing’ and online security scams.”

Regulators rate the soundness of financial institutions but don’t disclose the resulting grades. Savvy consumers, however, can turn to ratings generated by private firms that wade through the oceans of numbers that banks report to regulators.

The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.’s website lists 11 firms that rate banks and thrifts and provide reports online, by mail or even over the phone. That information can be found at www.fdic.gov/bank /individual/bank/index.html.

Categories: Uncategorized

Some things to think about (again)

September 6, 2008 · Leave a Comment

The unemployment rate has been rising, even locally.

http://www.latimes.com/news/politics/la-fi-economy6-2008sep06,0,1992624.story

I haven’t heard recent figures for Pasadena, but among other things, the recent stories note:

California’s unemployment rate remains significantly higher than in most of the rest of the country, hitting 7.3% in July — a 12-year high. Unemployment is even higher in metropolitan Los Angeles, 7.5%, and is close to 9% in Riverside and San Bernardino counties, which have been slammed by the housing downturn.

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac face possible fed takeover.

http://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-fannie6-2008sep06,0,1703824.story

Fannie, Freddie takeover possible

Paulson discusses a rescue plan with the mortgage giants’ chiefs, who may have to step down, sources say.
By Peter G. Gosselin, Los Angeles Times Staff Writer
September 6, 2008

WASHINGTON — Treasury Secretary Henry M. Paulson Jr. called in top executives of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac late Friday to hammer out details of a rescue plan for the troubled mortgage giants that could go so far as a full government takeover, according to people familiar with the effort.

Meanwhile, our electric and water rates are headed up and ballot proposals are asking us to tax ourselves to pay for transportation projects for METRO (MTA), balance the budget (if the lottery scheme won’t fly) and fund capital improvement in local schools.  and the statewide bond measures…

Paul

Categories: Uncategorized

Republican Convention is done, are the Republicans?

September 5, 2008 · 1 Comment

Palin did a good job last night with her speech. For a newcomer, she managed to hit the notes her party needed her to hit, and she did it pretty damn well.

McCain? That’s another story altogether.

Nobody I’ve talked with is changing votes though. That seems to be the predominant feeling in Calif, with nobody moved either wy by either convention, at least not that I can see.

But then, it’s not about California anymore, anyway. We’re a solid blue state, so the Palin pick was about the Ohios, Michigans and Floridas where a conservative woman who goes for the throat could change some minds, maybe.

Maybe, if the top of the ticket gets a charisma transplant and Obama makes a few missteps (or some skeletions emerge from his closet). Or if the Dems get smug and confortable.

From my perch, it doesn’t really look like anyone’s minds going to be changed after this week.  61 days and counting…

Paul

Categories: Uncategorized

Doggy for VP?

September 5, 2008 · Leave a Comment

Some people, huh?

http://dogblog.dogster.com/

It’s funny enough somebody did a doggy Myspace, but blogs for the pooch?

Paul

Categories: Uncategorized